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Poland's ruling conservatives lose majority in parliament to centrist coalition_我的网站

一 | WARSAW, Poland -- Three opposition parties that vowed to restore democratic standards in Poland together won over 54% of the votes in the nation's weekend parliamentary election, putting them in a position to take power, according to a complete ballot count reported Tuesday.The conservative Law and Justice party, which has governed the country for eight turbulent years, won slightly over 35% of the votes, making it the single party with the most votes. But the party and its leader Jarosław Kaczyński lost their majority in parliament and appeared to have no way to hold onto power.The official ballot announced by the National Electoral Commission aligns closely with an exit poll released after voting ended Sunday.Turnout was nearly 75%, a record that surpassed even the 63% turnout of 1989, a vote that triggered the collapse of the oppressive Soviet-backed communist system. Law and Justice had been moving the country down an illiberal path, taking control of courts in a manner that violated the country's constitution. The party politicized state institutions, including taxpayer-funded public media which it used as a crude propaganda tool to praise itself and vilify opponents.The result was a huge victory for Donald Tusk, the head of the largest opposition group, Civic Coalition. He appeared likely to return to his past role as Polish prime minister, a job he held from 2007-14. He also served as the European Council president, a top job in the EU, from 2014-19.Tusk's success is all the more remarkable given that state media went into overdrive to portray him as a stooge of Germany and Russia. That portrayal, which appeared baseless, also won him much sympathy.Tusk himself won more than half a million votes running for a seat in parliament. His party said it was the best result in the history of parliamentary elections in Poland.The result was a huge relief for Poles concerned about the country’s international isolation at a time of war across the border in Ukraine and the constant bickering with the European Union. Many feared it could cause the country's eventual exit from the 27-member bloc.The LGBTQ+ community also suffered a smear campaign in recent years, being portrayed as a threat to the nation by the conservative ruling party. Liberal critics were sometimes depicted as disloyal to the country. Over the years, massive protests led by women rocked the country as the party restricted the abortion law to prevent the termination of pregnancies with fetal abnormalities.Young people and women were among those who voted in droves to get rid of the Law and Justice party, which won in 2015 vowing to fight corruption and help even out economic inequalities. While its social spending did help many Polish pensioners and families, solidifying a solid base of support, the party has increasingly faced allegations of corruption.The National Electoral Commission said that Law and Justice won slightly over 35% of the votes, and the far-right Confederation party, a possible ally, about 7%.Three opposition groups won a collective of 53.7%, enough for a comfortable majority of 248 seats in the 460-seat lower house of parliament, or Sejm; The Civic Coalition garnered 30.7% of the vote while the centrist Third Way got 14.4% and the New Left about 8.6%.The three ran on separate tickets so they are not formally part of the same coalition, but all promised to cooperate to restore the rule of law.Law and Justice will have 194 seats, far short of the majority it held for eight years. Confederation increased its presence from 11 in the outgoing parliament to 18 seats in parliament. It had hoped for more after a brief summertime surge in the polls.The opposition, which had a razor-thin majority in the outgoing Senate, has now obtained an overwhelming majority of 66 out of 100 seats in that upper chamber. The Senate is far less powerful than the Sejm, but still has some limited influence over the legislative process. Law and Justice will only have 34 seats.In another sharp blow to Law and Justice, a referendum held alongside the vote failed to reach the 50% needed to be valid. Many voters boycotted it to protest loaded questions on migration and other fraught issues which appeared aimed mostly at mobilizing the ruling party's supporters.Although the voting is over, it might still take weeks for a new government to be in place.President Andrzej Duda, an ally of Law and Justice, must call for the first session of the new parliament within 30 days of election day and appoint a prime minister to form a government.In the meantime, the current government will remain in a caretaker role.。 AI摘要台风“简拉维”登陆泉州，福州启动防汛Ⅲ级响应并迎暴雨。全省渔船及渔排人员须限期撤离上岸。

二 | 气象部门提醒防范次生灾害，避免前往山区水域游玩。 8月24日12时30分，今年第20号台风“简拉维”在泉州沿海登陆。福州于当日11时30分将防汛应急响应提升为Ⅲ级。

三 | “四台共舞”上演近日，台风扎堆了！8月24日上午，今年第21号台风“艾莎尼”在西北太平洋洋面生成。它与今年第18号台风“沙德尔”、第19号台风“紫檀”、第20号台风“简拉维”，上演了“四台共舞”。这些台风对福州有何影响呢？记者从气象部门了解到，台风“艾莎尼”距离遥远，未来不会对福建海域造成直接风雨影响。不过需要注意的是，它与台风“沙德尔”距离较近，会间接扰动台风“沙德尔”后期路径。台风“简拉维”外围环流已深度介入福州，和季风槽打通水汽通道，是造成当前福州暴雨、大暴雨的推手之一。台风“沙德尔”将于8月25日下午至夜间移入福建省热带气旋警戒区，可能于8月27日夜间到28日上午在浙江中南部到福建中部一带沿海登陆；也可能于8月27日下午到夜间在台湾岛东部沿海登陆，尔后在福建中南部沿海登陆。台风“紫檀”活动于北部湾，主要影响广西、广东西部、海南，距离福建遥远，不会主导福州天气。根据中央气象台消息，未来9天，南海至西北太平洋洋面台风异常活跃，除了上述4个台风之外，预计还有1至2个台风生成，将影响华南南部及东南部沿海地区。做好安全防范根据气象部门预报，8月25日全市有大雨到暴雨，部分地区有大暴雨；8月26日，全市有阵雨或雷阵雨，部分地区有中雨，局部有大雨。

四 | 根据福建省海洋与渔业局要求，全省海洋渔船（含远洋渔船）务必于8月25日18时前进港避风，船上人员撤离上岸；外省海域的福建海洋渔船必须严格遵守属地台风防御管理要求，落实各项防控措施；全省沿海养殖渔排（含深远海养殖平台，下同）上的非劳动力人员务必于8月25日18时前全部撤离上岸；全省沿海养殖渔排上的劳动力人员务必于8月26日12时前全部撤离上岸。

五 | 气象部门提醒：前期土壤已经高度饱和，持续大暴雨极易诱发中小河流洪水、山洪、山体滑坡、塌方、泥石流等。市民不要前往溪谷、河滩、山区景点游玩；居住在边坡、老旧房屋周边的群众，要密切留意墙体开裂、泥土渗水，在出现险情时第一时间转移避险。相关链接如何看懂台风预警信号台风预警信号分4级，分别以蓝色、黄色、橙色和红色表示。台风红色预警信号：6小时内可能或者已经受热带气旋影响，沿海或者陆地平均风力达12级以上，或者阵风达14级以上并可能持续。台风橙色预警信号：12小时内可能或者已经受热带气旋影响，沿海或者陆地平均风力达10级以上，或者阵风12级以上并可能持续。

六 | 台风黄色预警信号：24小时内可能或者已经受热带气旋影响，沿海或者陆地平均风力达8级以上，或者阵风10级以上并可能持续。

七 | 台风蓝色预警信号：24小时内可能或者已经受热带气旋影响，沿海或者陆地平均风力达6级以上，或者阵风8级以上并可能持续。据了解，热带气旋分为热带低压、热带风暴、强热带风暴、台风、强台风和超强台风等6个等级。

八 | 一般来说，民间常说的“台风”是指除热带低压外5个等级的热带气旋。

九 | （记者林舒颖郑瑞洋）。

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